Declining television viewership for sporting events might suggest that who heralded sport as a potential saviour of traditional broadcast media had it all wrong. 
In Australia, ratings for the recent one-day cricket matches were and the Australian Open tennis was . In the UK, viewership for the British Open golf and even the once untouchable English Premier League (EPL) in certain timeslots. Meanwhile, Formula 1 is in a that has been ongoing for almost a decade, and the NFL is .
But putting the numbers under closer inspection reveals other explanations. Many of these leagues are moving onto pay TV or are the victims of changing sporting tastes. Rather than dampening broadcaster enthusiasm for live sport, they show why sport should remain on free TV.
A closer look at the numbers
The are maybe the most interesting of the bunch. The women鈥檚 final won the night in Australia, but with fewer viewers than previous years. The men鈥檚 final was a huge drawcard and viewing figures were well up from the previous year鈥檚 final. Worldwide, however, both the men鈥檚 and women鈥檚 finals on previous years.
So, what happened to Australian tennis viewership when the women鈥檚 final was on? More sport! The women鈥檚 tennis final was up against the final of the Big Bash League (BBL) cricket, which to come a close second in the ratings.
The of the BBL shows fans aren鈥檛 cutting out or cutting down sport consumption. Instead, they are substituting one format of cricket, or one sport, for another. Cricket Australia launched the BBL , and it has been a tremendous success.
As BBL shows, the decline in one sport can be driven by consumer sport preferences changing, rather than people abandoning sport altogether.
The EPL and Champions Leagues, previously bastions of strong viewership, have also in audience figures. That said, a closer look implies that a lack of marquee fixtures in the EPL and the qualification of historically smaller clubs (i.e., Leicester) have .
Moving to pay TV
Another explanation for declining audience figures concerns sports that have moved from free-to-air broadcasters to pay television. In the UK, the transition of the British Open from the BBC to Sky television in viewing figures. The highlights package broadcast on the BBC following the conclusion of the event drew than the live coverage on Sky. This suggests that short-run events (at least in the initial stages of the relationship), such as the Open might be insufficient to translate British Golf fans into Sky subscribers.
In Australia, Optus by paying almost three times the amount Foxtel was paying to show it previously. This has been the subject of a ever since. Viewership through these channels is difficult to track, but Optus subscriptions since the deal. Meanwhile, ratings for the home-grown A-league, which airs on Fox Sports and SBS, , possibly because fans are switching from EPL for their soccer fix.
But the money being offered to move to pay TV is hard to turn down.
It looks like the next five year BBL rights could go for 鈥� a three-fold increase from the A$100 million Ten paid for the initial five year deal. A big part of the BBL鈥檚 success has come from it being broadcast every night of the week, on a major free-to-air channel, at a relatively non-competitive time of year. Broadcast it on pay TV and things might change. Sure, some people will subscribe, but BBL is largely a family sport and the added subscription costs could price out a substantial proportion of the consumer market.
Still a golden opportunity for free TV
Restricted broadcast threatens the future of a sport league. All brands grow by increasing the number of people who consume them. Only free TV gives that to sports brands. The EPL story defies this logic, demonstrating exponential growth since its transition to Sky Sports in the early 90s; however, if brands choose to limit distribution to narrow channels like pay TV, the chances of brand growth are severely limited.
Advertisers and sponsors, already confused about where they should be advertising, are also big losers if sport isn鈥檛 shown on free-to-air TV. As Professor Mark Ritson , traditional media gets much better results than social media advertising and other alternatives. But to do so, it must have wide reach 鈥� it needs to be attracting large audiences. If free to air television was to lose big draw card sport broadcasts, audiences shrink and advertising there becomes much less powerful.
Whatever it costs to retain sports on FTV, it is probably worth it for both advertisers and broadcasters. And it鈥檚 not just the sports that are big right now that they should focus on. Australia鈥檚 appetite for sport is not diminishing, but it is reshaping.
A recent survey we conducted of 4,000 people Australia-wide showed that interest in the (AFLW) is strong. Around two thirds of AFL fans will either watch or attend at least one game of AFLW during this upcoming season. Across all people surveyed, around 27% said they were likely to attend a game of AFLW and 38% intended to watch at least half a match on television. Even allowing for the usual difference between what people intend to do and what actually ends up happening, these numbers are strong. The AFL has wisely in anticipation of much larger crowds than the initial 5,000 per match estimates.
AFLW stands a very good chance of being Australia鈥檚 dominant women鈥檚 sporting league 鈥� in its very first year. For a savvy broadcaster, this represents a golden opportunity.
, Professor of Marketing, and , Senior Lecturer in Sport,
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